Tuesday, May 3, 2011

Chink in the Armor?

I was going to wait until the results were in, but I'm going to say ahead of time that, yes, the special elections for three Wisconsin State Assembly seats is an important statement for non-Walker forces.

Walker's appointment of three Representatives for his administration created the openings in a 60 Rep-37 Dem (one independent) State Assembly, and to be honest, moving three to the Blue side of the aisle won't make much of a difference as far as voting legislation goes.  The Republican puppets will still do as the puppetmaster commands.

However, the results will speak volumes about the satisfaction level of Wisconsin voters.  Some, such as the AP in the Chicago Tribune, are touting this as a virtual referendum on labor issues.

If labor has managed to mobilize and keep its base energized, there should be some tangible results.  Just as JoAnne Kloppenburg ran David Prosser to an almost vrtual dead heat in the State Supreme Court race--after finishing 30 points behind him in the primary--and the in-your-face vote for Milwaukee County exec Chris Abele over Walker pal Jeff Stone--in Walker's old job, by an incredible 61%-39% margin, so, too, will this gauge how the electorate is leaning.

Granted, of these three Assembly seats, two--District 60 in Washington/Ozaukee Counties (Candidate Rick Aaron), and District 83 (Candidate James Brownlow against Paul Ryan disciple Dave Craig) in Racine/Walworth/Waukesha--are stalwart Republican strongholds.  Even a 30% showing for Dems would be somewhat of a statement (Democrats usually garner no more than 25% or so of the vote in these districts).  35% would be major.  UPDATE: Upon further review, District 83 only went 21% for Dems in 2010, District 60 didn't even run a candidate. 
District 94 (parts of LaCrosse and Monroe Counties) has a real chance to turn the tide (as of this moment, LaCrosse station WXOW is reporting a 51-49% lead for Democrat Steve Doyle, with 23% of the precincts reporting).

It's possible by the time I actually get off my butt and post this thing, the election results will be announced.

Hopefully, for the state of Wisconsin, it's good news.

THIS WILL BE UPDATED AS RESULTS COME IN.

9:27 PM JS Online
Dist. 60  100% reporting
Stroebel , GOP, 7,331 votes, 76%
Aaron,     Dem,  2,357 votes, 24%

Dist. 83  100% reporting
Craig,      GOP,  8,313 votes, 74%
Brownlow, Dem, 2,895 votes, 26%

Dist. 94 100% reporting
Lautz       GOP,  7,219 votes, 46%
Doyle,     Dem,  8,369 votes, 54%

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